Saturday, February 18, 2006

Winless Watch (Girls) - Final 2005-06

All six of the IHSAA girls' basketball teams who started sectional play on the Winless Watch list ended the same way. The final results (in order of margin of defeat):

1. Gary Wallace (-39.2) - an 88-point defeat at the hands of SB St. Joseph's in the final week of the regular season pushed them to the top of the list
2. Lawrence Central (-37.9)
3. Indianapolis Howe (-33.1)
4. Sheridan (-31.2)
5. Lake Station (-27.4)
6. Churubusco (-18.4)

But margin of defeat doesn't tell the whole story. Taking into account Jeff Sagarin's strength of schedule index, the Winless Watch girls team of the year is the Indianapolis Howe Hornets. The Hornets' stingers were broken this season, posting an 0-20 record against only the 334th toughest schedule in the state. Lake Station's Fighting Eagles actually had a worse strength of schedule (354th, by Sagarin's math), but were saved from WW TotY ignominy by having a narrower margin of defeat.

Lawrence Central was also strongly considered for TotY dishonors, but an almost 38-point-per-game margin of defeat is tempered somewhat by the fact that they played the 17th toughest schedule in Indiana this season, which means that they didn't load up on a schedule of Blind School, Triple Amputee Tech and Daleville. Sheridan and Churubusco, meanwhile, also had much stronger SoS numbers than Howe. (Gary Wallace was not considered, as they played only 12 games this season, which equates to little more than half a season.)

Congrats to the Lady Hornets of Indianapolis Howe - the Winless Watch 2005-06 Girls Team of the Year!

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